Immediately after
the elections to five states, intellectuals, political analysts and journalists
began comparing the journeys of the Congress, the oldest political party in the
country and the BJP that had started as the Jana Sangh in 1951. In the backdrop
of the Lok Sabha elections to be held in the next 4-5 months, these people are
trying to evaluate the possibilities that shadowed Congress’s performance over
the years while analysing the upward progress including the resounding success
of the Bharatiya Janata Party in the recent elections.
Definitely, the decline of Congress’s performance, that had once
enjoyed power in various states including the Centre, is bothering many
pro-Congress intellectuals and journalists who sympathize with them. But
instead of taking it as an opportunity to introspect, these people are taking
an easier route of disrespectfully targeting the Bharatiya Janata Party and
Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Unlike in the story of the elephant and the seven
blind, Congress’s supporters are giving their perceptions on BJP’s growing
popularity. But I wonder how Congress leadership will apprehend and take cue
from this analysis. If we look at the statistics, we will see how the vote
percentage of the Bharatiya Janata Party doubled after the 2009 Lok Sabha
elections. One must understand that vote percentage does not increase
overnight. Building an electorate for a party is a long process. During 2009
Lok Sabha elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party secured 7.8 crore (18.8%)
votes. In 2014 elections, the BJP bagged 17.16 crore votes. The BJP had managed
to garner 31 per cent of the total votes polled, an increase of 2.5% over the
period of 5 years. In 2019, the vote share of the BJP was 37.5%, an increase of
5 crore votes as compared to 2014 elections.
Now let us look at the performance of the Congress. Congress got 11.9
crore votes (28.5%) in 2009, 10.69 crore (19.5%) in 2014 whereas 11.94 crore
(19%) in 2019. This means that the votes polled by the Congress between 2009
and 2019 remained more or less the same. It also clearly shows that while the
BJP’s vote share doubled during these 10 years, there wasn’t any substantial
change in Congress’s vote share. Doesn’t it infer that this party failed to
attract new voters?
Seeing the developmental activities during the 5 years tenure, i.e.,
from 2014 to 2019, voters brought the slogan ‘Phir ek baar Modi Sarkar’ to
reality. After 2014, there has been an increase in the number of states where
the Bharatiya Janata Party formed the government. Prime Minister Narendra Modi
often uses the term ‘double-engine government’. If the same party is in power
at the Centre and the state, development process gets accelerated.
After 2014, many central government’s schemes for the benefit of the
poor and the underprivileged got the desired boost from BJP-ruled state
governments. Let us take the example of Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi
scheme. In this scheme, the central government deposits Rs 6,000 every year in
bank accounts of the farmers. The state governments of both Madhya Pradesh and
Maharashtra agreed to give equivalent amount to the farmers from their
treasury. Benefits of such schemes had never reached the needy in this manner
during Congress’ long tenure. In fact, in Madhya Pradesh, when the Congress was
in power from December 2018 to March 2020, they stalled many welfare schemes
for the women, farmers and senior citizens introduced by the Shivraj Singh government.
Not only people-centric activities, but BJP’s work at the
organizational level has also been a determinant factor in its success.
Congress leadership, however, never showed the intent of implementing public
welfare schemes through any of its governments. At the same time, it also did
not work towards improvising its performance at the organizational level. This
could have been the reason for the decline. The party also failed to make
attempts to garner support from new voters. Congress’s tradition of ‘collective
leadership’ gradually faded during the 1970s when both, Indira Gandhi and Rajiv
Gandhi were at the helm of affairs. Although Indira Gandhi’s ‘one-man’ style of
functioning brought her success, in longer run it became detrimental for the
party. No doubt Indira Gandhi’s political acumen was outstanding. History shows
that she had identified with the common Indians. But with regard to the current
leadership in the party, one better not speak about their acumen.
Unfortunately, none of the senior leaders within the party also have the guts
to apprise Rahul Gandhi. Instead of identifying the reasons behind Narendra
Modi’s rising popularity, Rahul Gandhi takes pride in rudely and publicly
defaming Modi.
Of the 4 states, Congress, whose control rests with the mother-son duo,
became victorious only in Telangana. In fact, some years ago, some senior
leaders had expressed their displeasure about Rahul Gandhi’s functioning and
had demanded that the president must be selected from outside the Gandhi
family. Since the letter sent by these senior leaders to Sonia Gandhi became
public, the dissatisfaction within the party towards Rahul Gandhi’s style of
working also came in public domain. This could have addressed the issue of
weakening of the Congress at the organizational level. Recently, Revanth Reddy
was seen seeking blessings of Smt. Sonia Gandhi while taking oath as the chief
minister of Telangana but he ignored Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge who
was sitting right next to her. This was enough signal on how, despite Kharge
being older than Gandhi, the newly sworn-in chief minister did not show basic
courtesy of paying respect to Kharge. It also exhibited how the party values
its seniors, especially its national president.
One thing is for sure, no matter how hard they try to evaluate the
rising popularity of the BJP in every election, Congress will never realize the
issues within the party. They are satisfied with reading scripted texts –
‘Panauti’, ‘Maut ka saudagar’, etc and not evaluate the actual cause for their
downfall. I sincerely hope the party introspects and understands what people
expect from them especially after the recent elections.
(Article
Pre-Published in Times of India -11 December. 2023)
Keshav Upadhye, Chief Spokesperson
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